Open Works & Reports

Pre-empting miscalculation between NATO, Russia, and Belarus

By Anna J. Davidson ABSTRACT Miscalculation has brought Belarus to the point of uncertainty. Long predicted by experts were the alleged interference and rigging of Belarus’ presidential elections results on August 9, 2020 and Alexander Lukashenko’s determination to maintain his position as president despite public opposition. Less predicted was the unprecedented degree to which the…

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The UC Interview Series: Sir Laurie Bristow

Conducted on behalf of the University Consortium in November 2020 as the first interview of the UC Interview Series. Sir Laurie Bristow, former UK Ambassador to Russia with the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office discusses his past, his take on current events and his message to the next generation of leaders. Since March 2020, Sir…

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ASSET OF WAR AND PEACE – Russian Efforts in the Black Sea Security Environment

By Anna J. Davidson ABSTRACT The Black Sea functions as a corridor body of water strategically positioned between Russia, Europe, the Mediterranean, and the Middle East, and it is increasingly populated by Russian instruments of security. The Istanbul strait to the southwest connects the Black Sea with the Mediterranean Sea and Atlantic Ocean, while the…

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How to bring Russia into INF compliance — without triggering a war

By Anna J. Davidson ABSTRACT For all intents and purposes, the prevailing wisdom in both East and West suggests that the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty is lost. On 4 March, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree officially terminating his country’s participation in the INF “until the United States of America rectifies its violations of…

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Do Svidaniya, Chernobyl: Russian economic statecraft in Turkey and Belarus

By Anna J. Davidson “Nuclear energy technology is increasingly relied upon by Russian President Vladimir Putin as his instrument of choice in economic statecraft. Aside from pursuing advanced nuclear technologies such as the MBIR sodium-cooled fast reactor (the world’s most powerful research reactor), the Russian Federation and its state-owned organizations are capitalizing on the pursuit…

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Germany: The Subtle Mediator Between Russia and Ukraine

By Anna J. Davidson “When the Secretary of Russia’s Security Council, Nikolai Patrushev, claimed in mid-January that the continuation of policies “by the Kiev authorities can contribute to the loss of Ukraine’s statehood,” members of the international security community expressed outrage at what appeared to be a blatant threat to Ukraine’s sovereignty. Nevertheless, impulsive proclamations…

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Tensions Between Russia and Ukraine Escalate to Four-Year High

By Anna J. Davidson “The actions of Russian President Vladimir Putin should be easy to comprehend. According to prevailing wisdom, he is desperately attempting to solidify a sphere of influence along Russia’s borders and redeem a state with an aging population and stagnating economy from the humiliations it endured during the 1990s. To many in…

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